2009年3月10日星期二

Economic recession in the United States has not yet bottomed out

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The United States again on the 5th New York stock market crash, the Dow Jones index fell below 6600

points, or 4.09 percent up. As a barometer of economic trends, the stock market continued to

decline reflecting the financial crisis continues to deepen the United States also shows that the

United States economic recession has not yet bottomed out.

According to the U.S. Department of Commerce recently published data, the U.S. economy in the

fourth quarter of last year fell by an annual rate of 6.2 percent, the United States This is the

second consecutive quarter of economic decline also reflects the quagmire the United States economy

into recession in a critical situation.

In addition, the U.S. Department of Commerce data released on the 5th, this year the United States

in January factory orders lower than the previous month 1.9% decline for the sixth month in a row;

the same day, the United States Labor Department released the latest data show that U.S. non -

labor productivity of the agricultural sector in the fourth quarter fell at an annual rate of 0.4

percent, with the previously reported 3.2 percent growth in the formation of a strong contrast.

U.S. Federal Reserve released the previous day's "Beige Book" warning said that since the beginning

of this year, the United States economy as a whole has continued to deteriorate. "Beige Book"

points out that it is difficult to improve the U.S. economy a short period of time, to the end of

2009 or early 2010 before the risk of significant recovery.

Economic situation in the physical circumstances, as the initiator of the crisis in the United

States financial sector more frequently are alarming: American International Group, Citigroup and

other financial giants at the moment is still teeters on the edge of life and death, the U.S.

government has to continue to give assistance.

In addition, the U.S. economy can not be optimistic about the external environment. Eastern Europe,

some of the country's financial situation continues to worsen, the United Kingdom, Germany and

other major economies in recession deepened, the United States has aggravated the instability of

the financial markets.

As soon as possible to stabilize the financial markets, Obama has taken a series of measures the

Government. U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve Board announced the Government's 3 Day 200 billion

U.S. dollars will be invested to stimulate the credit consumption.

However, analysts believe that Obama's move is only an outline, no details, and moves too slow,

disappointing investors, the financial markets which would be difficult to reverse the declining

trend. The United States "Wall Street Journal" published an editorial pointing out a few days ago,

Obama economic policy instead has become a current "economic problem", The report also said the

consequences are very likely the U.S. economy "into a long period of recession or low growth." Some

economists warned that Obama if the Government should not take more resolute and effective

measures, the United States may repeat Japan's "lost 10 years" again.

Analysts generally believe that the recent U.S. stock market continued to slump with investors

panic over have a great relationship. To appease the stock market, Barack Obama delivered a few

days ago, "stock analysts" and watch from the long-term investment perspective, and now may have a

good stock "buy." However, in a pessimistic atmosphere, investors in his "buy on the" hard to

believe, the stock market is still down.

Obama all-round challenges facing the Government at the moment, but the most pressing challenges is

how to stabilize the financial market as soon as possible, because only stabilize the financial

markets in order to restore credit flows, promote consumption, and increase employment

opportunities. While only the normal operation of the above-mentioned aspect, the United States

economy is expected to recover.

Of the American people, in the current bleak economic situation, to overcome the excessive fear is

not an easy task, but it is the financial and economic situation has stabilized and an important

condition. Day 4 British Prime Minister Gordon Brown delivered a speech at the U.S. Congress, said

that the need to focus on the future, "It is our belief in the future so that we overcome the fear

of the future." However, can they keep the American people to overcome fear, Obama is still

dependent on the Government's specific measures to deal with the crisis and its real effect.

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